Keep Calm & Keep Walking (Waiting ) ….. ( Photos Sharing )
The stock market remains volatile and STI moving up and down with range-bound between 2450-2550. With US Presidential Election and the pending stimulus package from the US government & congress, the market just moving up and down by following this news day by day, for me, it is just like watching “Korean Drama” with popcorn ready.
Regardless of who is being elected as next US President, the
market will still need to be backed to basic in line with economic performance and
recovery from this pandemic. I am sure there will be a “ stimulus package”
ready to support this “fragile and zombie” US economy eventually, to keep it
“afloat” while waiting for “vaccine” and life to go back to normal.
<Image credit : Forbes.com> |
Here’s
How The Stock Market Has Performed Before, During, And After Presidential
Elections <source:Forbes.com>
Stock-market volatility can surge by
20% in the 2 weeks prior to Election Day—but don’t act rash <source:marketwatch.com>
So, as I mentioned in my previous blog post, the current stock market environment is just a waiting game :
A "Waiting" Game <source: stestocksinvesting>
I don’t have many changes in my portfolio recently, except
adding some into my current positions and a new counter ( GSK – GlaxoSmithKline Plc),
my first stock in the healthcare industry.
Nobody knows when the economy will recover and the pandemic
will be over, but life goes on and make sure we have enough emergency fund if
anything happens to our job as the economy will continue to be very “challenging and
tough “ for a foreseeable future.
Inflation May Rear Its Ugly Head Again
With trillions of dollars being printed by world central
banks, no doubt we will see higher inflation in future due to this massive
money supply. Most people understand that inflation increases the price of
their groceries and decrease the value of the money we have in our wallet or
banks. You may also notice that the price list of the food in our hawker centre
suddenly change and $50 can only buy lesser groceries from the supermarket.
Although it looks more volatile, stock market investment has
historically performed well during high inflation, benefiting from the earning
of companies usually rising along with the battle to beat inflation, especially
when returns being reinvested and let compound take effect. Hence, it will be
unwise to have 100% in cash and waiting for crash or better time to enter the
market.
Of course, it is also not a good idea to move 100% into “Gold “
as to hedge against inflation, maybe a more diversified portfolio will be
better like putting certain % of your money into equity, bonds, commodities,
real estate or alternative assets, depending on your risk profile and
tolerance.
The Truth About Warren Buffett’s
Investment In Gold <source:Forbes.com>
Some sectors may have benefited from a higher inflation
environment but please do your due diligence as some investment product listed
in the article below (e.g CryptoCurrency and Investment-Grade Art) may not be
suitable for you based on your risk tolerance.
8 Investments to Protect Against a Post-COVID-19 Inflation
Spike <source:moneycrashers.com>
Lifestyle Inflation: Another Type Of Inflation
"Lifestyle
inflation is when you increase your spending as your income goes up.
By itself, a
little bit of lifestyle inflation is not a problem if we know and control our
expenses well, but it becomes one when you increase your spending too fast
relative to your income (excessive lifestyle inflation). It makes saving for
retirement, repaying housing loans or building an emergency fund much
more difficult or may end up in high debts eventually.
Because of
lifestyle inflation ( caused by F.O.M.O or W.O.L.O ), you may be living
paycheck-to-paycheck even if you earn more than $20,000 per month. Finding ways to
break the paycheck-to-paycheck cycle is vital to long-term financial health.
Increasing family income is obvious—though not necessarily a possible quick
solution, especially in such difficult times. Reducing expenses and eliminating
debt is more important and effective as our ultimate goal for long term
financial planning."
Why high-income earners still struggle
to build wealth <source:Theladders.com>
“Like doctors, business executives
live and operate within a culture that’s driven by high incomes. Promotions and
additional levels of responsibility in business bring with it an expectation of
success.
And more specifically, looking successful.
But, it takes a tremendous amount
of discipline to curb our spending when the money is right there. Wearing
expensive suits and driving nice cars make us appear successful. And, sometimes
we buy these high-priced cars simply to paint a carefully-manicured picture of
what we want society to believe. Believe about us. For many, looking successful is
an implied requirement for being
successful.”
“When we’re making great
money, we’re conned into believing that it’ll never end. Just look at former
NBA star Allen Iverson who went bankrupt after raking in $150 million over
his basketball career.
Unfortunately, my income was
supporting my spending, but I wasn’t getting more wealthy. I was quickly
becoming a member of the pseudo-affluent society that shows wealth, but don’t actually have wealth.”
The
dangers of lifestyle inflation — and how to avoid it<source:Theweek.com>
OK, enough talks about inflation, I know everyone is worried
about our incomes/jobs or value of your investment portfolio. To survive in any
crisis, we must always prepare for a rainy day and live below your means, don't overstretch your debts ( especially housing or property mortgage ).
Life goes on and makes sure you keep a healthy lifestyle
during this Covid-19 pandemic, drink more water and doing more exercise
regularly.
Stay Safe and Stay Healthy !!
Cheers !!
STE
P.S: Would like to share some photos taken during our visit to Labrador Nature Reserve recently (follow by brunch at Pasir Panjang Food
Centre – at the famous Hainanese herbal mutton soup) and other photos which were taken
during the lockdown period.
<Labrador Nature Reserve>
beautiful pictures. May I know where is venue for picture 27? thank you so much!
ReplyDeleteHi ValueHunter,
DeleteFyi.. the photo was taken at "Punggol Park- Hougang Ave 10
https://www.nparks.gov.sg/gardens-parks-and-nature/parks-and-nature-reserves/punggol-park
wa how come u can make a bunch of residential buildings look so nice...
ReplyDeleteHi TTI,
DeleteHahaha. . thanks for the comment , just need to "keep walking" and look around on things surrounding us, we may find the "surprise " from time to time... juts need a little bit of attention .. cheers !! :D
Hi
ReplyDeleteNice to hear from you and very timely
I added GSK as well over these four months. although falling progressively, intend to add more at around 13/13.50£
I have held GSK in my portfolio for 8 plus years since my UK days
Also opened positions in US pharma majors during March- May period
Healthcare and major pharma is unexciting but hopefully acts as stabilizers to dividend investors like me
GARUDADRI
Hi Garudadri,
DeleteYah, pharma stocks are more on value and dividend play but providing good cash flow , I think this sector will continue to perform well as compared to Oil Majors , more secure FCF ... Yes, GSK been lagging behind all others major pharma's in term of Covid-19 vaccine development as it reflects in it's stock price vs J&J , Pfizer or even Sanofi...
Hope it would catch up and successfully develop the vaccine.
It's 3rd Qtr result will be announced later tonight, let's see how it perform and hope can maintain their dividend ... :D
Cheers !!