Buy Low, Sell High ! How ?
image credit to youtube.com |
I hope stock market will crash
tomorrow !!
Hey! wait a
minute (ちょっと待って), don’t throw rotten eggs or curse at me !! J
Here is my
story ….
Every stock market investor knows the old
adage: Buy low, sell high. We often hear this in investment courses or
seminars we had attended, even in the financial blogosphere. We talked about “ Price
is what you pay, value is what you get “, we wanted to buy cheap at best “bargain
“ and high M.O.S ( margin of safety ).
But every day when we log into our PC or
looking at the financial apps on our HP, we wanted to see the stocks we
purchased (our portfolio ) in green and price continue to increase. We feel
happy seeing our portfolio in “positive “ territory. This is very much in contrary
to what we want in “buy low “, the real “low “ or value only appears in crisis
or when the market is having huge correction or pullback.
If you are a “ trader “ ,
Yes ! it makes sense, you buy low (at the current price level, based on what the
chart said, where your entry price may
be in the high side ) and hope to sell high
(or higher high ) to make some money on the price differences. But remember
that markets are interesting beasts and are utterly unpredictable one.
It swings from one end to the other end like what greatest investment guru’s a famous quote “ In the short run, the market is
a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.”
If you are in the “ wealth
accumulation “ stage and hope to buy at a bargain , you should expect the market
to crash tomorrow, the hardest the better, maybe by another -30-50%. The
real “value “ or “great bargain “ will appear by then … I know and can understand that you might fear crashes, corrections and
volatility if you need your money now where you may need to “cut loss”.
The
last thing somebody nearing or in retirement or ready to tap capital for an
important expenditure wants to deal with are wild market gyrations and extended
downside.
So how hah?
we want to see market up or down? It depends ….on your financial goals and stage of the investment life cycle.
Further reading …
It's time to
revisit the disaster scenario for stock prices from BusinessInsider.com
The
Problem with Buy Low, Sell High Advice from
Investopedia.com
“Buy Low, Sell High “ Sounds Easy. So Why is
it Hard?
Quote “ A huge
part of smart investing is psychological and
this chart illustrates one of the many psychological roadblocks we have as
investors. We may want to buy low and
sell high, but that goes against our instincts and biases. When a stock is
falling, we dump it. When a stock is rising, we buy it. We sell a company when
the price is falling because we are afraid of losing more money; we buy a stock
when it is rising because we have a fear of missing out. To compound the
problem, most investors are not experts at realizing when something high or low
“enough. “ Unquote
image credit to steemit.com |
image credit to magisteradvisors.com |
Cheers !!
Quote Of The Day:
“ Buy low and sell high,
it’s pretty simple. The problem is knowing what’s low and what’s high.” By Jim
Roger
Hard to time the market. I can only remain a certain percentage vested.
ReplyDeleteHi My Investment Machine,
DeleteYes, you are absolutely right..timing the market is near to impossible...we must always have our war-chest ready,,,take advantage on “fire sales “ during crisis..that’s where and when the real “value” emerges...
Cheers ! :D
Hi STE,
ReplyDeleteAlways saying is easier than doing. Mostly, when GSS comes, the sell in fear of ‘losing their life savings’ than grab all the solid counters on discount!! Holding power is important too!! Hehe
Hi sleepydevil,
DeleteYes, that's true, most ppl will act or react differently during financial crisis . Having holding power as well as not too stretch in " leverage " will be important , not to mention the " strong " mind-set and understand of the market characteristic & psychology.
Cheers ! and Happy Investing.. :P
Not easy. In real life; even veteran retails with experience over market cycles were caught with more than 80% cash at Mar 2009 market low fearing Depression 2.0 and rather waited longer.
DeleteHi Uncle CW8888,
DeleteYes, is really tough especially one is in need of $$$ or at / near retirement age, the psychological impact will be not be easy to "swallow"...
Cheers !!