Your IQ and ROI
According to Warren Buffett "Investing is not a game
where the guy with a 160 IQ beats the guy with a 130 IQ" and what
Buffett says about what is necessary for investing successfully:
Temperament
is also important. Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen
understanding of both human and institutional behaviour is vital to long-term
investment success. I’ve seen a lot of very smart people who have lacked these
virtues.
Also, investing is simple, but not easy. It requires
independent thinking and emotional intelligence more than IQ. When markets are tumbling
and fall like no tomorrow, IQ is not going to help you to stay away from
selling and buy even more at most bargaining prices.
Below is one of the best article written about “Intelligence and
Investment “ from awealthofcommonsense.com
Here are some of the highlight
from the article: “After a few years of being impressed by the sophistication and
above average IQ of the various portfolio managers, strategists, analysts, and
marketing people I came into contact with, I finally had a realization –
intelligence can only take you so far in this world. I didn’t exactly have an
epiphany on the topic, but over time the shine began to wear off.
It became apparent that the smartest person in the room isn’t
always right. In fact, most of the time their intelligence works against them
because they’ve become so sure of themselves and their investing abilities that
they’re unable to change their mind or accept the fact that the markets don’t
care what your IQ is.
Some of the smartest people outside the world of finance can
also, be terrible investors...
Why?
Because they assume success or wealth in one arena (their job)
will easily translate into another (the markets). Smart people are often the
most dangerous in terms of poor decision-making ability because they tend to be
overconfident, make things too complex, and over-think things.”
One of the strongest
verdict :
Isaac
Newton was a genius, but even he lost millions in the stock market (here)
image credit to cnbctv18.com |
IQ may be useful when it comes to analyzing
complicated investments. However, patience, discipline and perspective are all
more closely-tied to EQ than IQ.
Sometimes it doesn't matter how much complex quantitative analysis
you perform on a stock or how good one could predict the cash flow or growth of
a company. At the end of the day, the share price is determined by the market, not
by a number that a supercomputer or complex algorithm.
If high intelligence were the key to successful
investing, top business school professors and economists would be the
wealthiest guys on the planet.
Obviously, financial markets are made up of millions of people
around the world. Understanding how other investors are feeling, identifying
why they are buying and selling and anticipating what they will be doing next
all involve emotional intelligence. You may find out more about the importance of “behavioural or psychology “ impact on investment in My Investment Strategy (
here )
But how many investors will dare to buy during the crisis ? as
what repeatedly emphasized and highlighted by Buffett “Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are
Fearful”
Cheers !!
Quote Of The Day :
“Our "A" students become
professors. Our "B" students go to law school. Our "C" students rule the world.”
— Henry Rosovsky, Former Dean of Harvard College
Hi STE,
ReplyDeleteThere is no relation with IQ and ROI. Pretty much from analysing or doing 'homework' with our IQ, it improves our confidence but it does not signify that our investments will go as per intended. All about probability than certainty.
While there is a indirect relation with EQ and ROI.
The common words - Sell in fear, buy in greed :)
I'm still very amazed by your portfolio updates and enjoying reading them silently and you're indeed a good role model. Time after time, I'd love to drop by to your guest post on AK's blog on your inspiring story to motivate myself :)
Hi sleepydevil,
DeleteThanks for the comments and compliment , It really encourage me to share and write more about my journey of stocks investing...
Yes , indeed , as you said , the return on investment is about "probability than certainty " ,but in most of the case , investors like " certainty" , they wanted to know the market's return in next year , company's revenue growth , which counter will beat the market etc... they always like to listen to forecast or projection from the so call " Gurus " ...
Of course , some times , we need a little bit of luck in getting " alpha" .. like the sectors we are investing and right timing to buy ...
I like you latest latest blog post on topic of " cpf " ...yes , cpf can be a very good "tool" to assist us in our "retirement planning " ,, if use it wisely and not to over commit to "expensive " housing " ....always remember to "live within our means "
Cheers !!
Nice post, thanks!
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ReplyDelete