Saving vs Investing for Retirement : Which is more important ?
Saving vs Investing :
Everyone wants to be the genius investor who would beat the
market and turn a small amount of cash into a fortune.
We continuously search
for “ multi-bagger “ in our
investment portfolio, unfortunately, it's pretty difficult to do that and hard
to achieve “Alpha “ by most of retail
investors.
That's OK because as an average retail investor, we hardly
could outperform the market continues to achieve financial independence. Alternatively
, consistent saving over time is
much more likely to pay off than complicated investments or strategies such as
timing the market, momentum trading or trend following investing strategies
have a high probability of failure, but saving always wins.
While saving and investing go together like left and right
hands, accumulating money through
savings is the main mechanism that makes investing work.
“The only way to build wealth is
to have a gap between your ego and your income. Getting
rich has little to do with your income and everything to do with your savings rate. And your savings rate is
just the difference between your ego and your income. Keep the former in check
and you should be fine over time. – Morgan Housel, Motley Fool
The verdict :
An above-average saver will do better than a great investor
who doesn't save ( or save less ) in the long run. Let's say you are in the
rare group that can outperform (the market by) 3 percentage points per year --
few can do that. But you can't accumulate as much as someone who was more of an
average investor but saved in a disciplined and consistent way.
Below chart shows the result of 2 different investors, one
is better saver than the other :
- . Assuming 7 % p.a over 30 years
- Investors A save $10K per year ( for 1st 10 years ) and $15 K, $20K in following 20th and 30th years of investing
- While Investor B save only half of the amount of Investor A, which is $5 K, $7.5K and $10K for every 10 years of investing journey.
- At the end of the 30th years, Investor B only be able to achieve 33.3% of the total of Investor A.
Well, now let’s assume that Investor B is a “great and
genius “ investor who be able to beat the market by 3 % points in the long run
( of 30 years ) , which is very rare and
extraordinary ( as mentioned ).
-
Even with such good investment result, Investor
B still not be able to beat the total return of Investor A. ( only approx. 59% of the total return of Investor A).
Well, what is the ROI required in order for Investor B to
have the same investment amount as Investor A? The answer is ….. 12.635 %, which is a very exceptional return to be
achieved by average retail investors like us.
Everyone wants to retire with a lot of money at some point,
but are they willing to save and be disciplined with their spending in order to
do that? As I have mentioned in one of my investment strategies, “ Money Management “, watch out for our
personal “ cash flow “ and ensure that we don’t be killed by “ Lifestyle
Inflation “.
In order to save more, of course, we will need to improve our income level by achieving
better return on “ ROH “ i.e Return On Human Capital.
Net worth is an incomplete measurement of total financial worth as a living person, however. Human capital, your ability to increase your net worth in the future, is a bit harder to nail down, but it is an important factor to consider.
Below from Investopedia on 6 Ways to Boost your Human Capital
One should not just
chasing or looking for high investment return during their journey of
financial planning, but also need to achieve higher “saving “ through
increasing human capital.
This is because adding extra savings to your portfolio gives
compound interest more money to work on and achieve a higher total return on
investment at the end of the day.
In my earlier years of working life, before achieving
financial independence, we use to be very frugal and save a lot. The higher
than average “saving rate“ allowed us to put in more money into share market
and increased our investing during GFC.
You may click on below link to find out more details on my perspective about saving vs investing:
Cheers!
Quote Of The Day :
Generally speaking, investing in yourself is the
best thing you can do. Anything that improves your own talents; nobody can tax
it or take it away from you. They can run up huge deficits and the dollar can
become worth far less. You can have all kinds of things happen. But if you’ve
got talent yourself, and you’ve maximized your talent, you’ve got a tremendous
asset that can return ten-fold. By Warren Buffett
I think saving and investing return is equally important ... best of both world. Human capital has lifespan while investing is no maturity date (you can pass over to your love one just like business).
ReplyDeleteIn real life, the compounding effect is difficult to achieve as investment return is not linear.
Many of us (including me) use CPF-OA to fund our home. If we can fund our home mortgage with cash and leave all the CPF money intact, we should have big sum in our CPF account. This is one form of saving plus compounding returns.
Nevertheless, only few using cash to fund their house mortgage.
Yes, max our human capital while we are young and save more. Men at work.
When we are retiring, let our money at work.
RN
Hi RN,
DeleteYes ! You are absolutely right ! Both are equally important and saving play bigger role in our young days ,, we should maximize capitalize our human capital in younger day and let our Money work harder in our retirement age ,,,yap ! Sometime , we use CPF too much for housing and neglected our requirement for retirement,, another alternative is staying or buying our house 1 stage below our mean ,,, then we could clear the mortgage soon and let our saving in CPF computing again ,,,
Cheers !
Hi STE
DeleteThanks for assuring average retailers like us can do well with saving.
I am an average investor. If people think I can achieve Financial Independence by age 35-37 is remarkable, it got to do very much with saving and living well not by definition of materials.
Hi FD,
DeleteWe all are just average investor ,, same same ,, :) I think your high saving rate and simple lifestyle ,, plus your good insight in investing ,, really contributing to your FI achievement !
Cheers ... Gambateh !!
Hi STE
ReplyDeleteAny advice for those Self-employed and free lancer instead ?
Hi Small Time Investor,
DeleteYah ! Is quite challenging for Self-employ and freelancer ,,some time you win big , some time loss or break even ,,, well, think same apply ,when times are good ,, we have to save more and invest ,,when time are bad ,,, we will need to adjust ,,
Hahaha,, may not be a good answer,, :)
Cheers ,!
Hi STE,
ReplyDeleteThe most valuable, to me, is to increase knowledge (don't know if knowledge can be compound or not, why you think?)
I hardly come across someone who is successful with money (not through inheritance), but hardly read. And I am convinced your success has a lot to do with what you read : )
Hi millionfaith,
DeleteYah! I think so ,, knowledge can be compounded once we getting old and read more :)
Yes ! Reading is key to success ,,, as what Charlie Munger said : in my whole life, I have known no wise people who didn't read all the time ,,, none , zero " ..
Cheers !